GPT is going to take your job. And I don’t mean in the way that AI is going to take everyone’s job in 200 years when we’re all living under the ocean in an octopus’s garden or in space with our flying cars or whatever. I mean like it might happen before you get a new iPhone (probably not next year, but it could be single-digit years from now).

When Douglas Hofstader (the guy who wrote Godel, Escher, Bach) wrote that computers would never beat human beings at chess (in the 70s) and then was proved wrong by Deep Blue in the 90s, at least it took him twenty years to be wrong. In the world of GPT-3/4/whatever, being wrong happens faster.

Now GPT-3 can write essays for college students that are at best, tough to detect as illegitimate, and at worst, comparable to the typical BS that suffices in most humanities classrooms.

How long until it can write essays we cannot detect and/or essays that are genuinely more insightful and better-informed than the current stuff students produce (which generally sucks)? How many people are walking around with college degrees and jobs that are little more than the ability to write a few cogent sentences of plausible fluff? And why should anyone pay for that anymore?

The world is changing - new technology is going to make any number of tasks much easier. Figure out which tasks still won’t be…

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